000
ABNT20 KNHC 220531
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Nigel, located over the northeast Atlantic.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Sixteen, located over the southwestern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in
association with a broad area of low pressure located about 500
miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this
weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward
at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen are issued
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen are issued
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
...LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENING OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATER THIS MORNING...
As of 5:00 AM EDT Fri Sep 22
the center of Sixteen was located near 30.5, -75.0
with movement N at 14 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Issued at 500 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2023
000
WTNT31 KNHC 220831
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162023
500 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2023
...LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENING OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST LATER THIS MORNING...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 75.0W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Duck North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia
* Chesapeake Bay south of Windmill Point
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers
* Portions of Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Fear North Carolina to Fenwick Island Delaware
* Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds
* Tidal Potomac south of Cobb Island
* Chesapeake Bay south of North Beach
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Surf City to Duck North Carolina
* Chesapeake Bay north of Windmill Point to Smith Point
* Tidal Potomac south of Colonial Beach
* Remainder of Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the low pressure system was centered near
latitude 30.5 North, longitude 75.0 West. The system is moving
toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h). A northwest to north motion
is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track,
the center of the low will approach the coast of North Carolina
through tonight, and then move across eastern North Carolina,
southeastern Virginia, and the Delmarva Peninsula Saturday and
Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or
so, and the low is expected to become a tropical storm before it
reaches the coast of North Carolina. Regardless of whether it
becomes a tropical storm, the system is expected to bring
tropical-storm conditions to portions of the southeast and
mid-Atlantic coasts.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for this system can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Neuse and Bay Rivers...3-5 ft
Pamlico and Pungo Rivers...3-5 ft
Chesapeake Bay south of Colonial Beach...2-4 ft
Surf City, NC to Chincoteague, VA...2-4 ft
Albemarle Sound...2-4 ft
South Santee River, SC to Surf City, NC...1-3 ft
Chincoteague, VA to Manasquan Inlet, NJ...1-3 ft
Upper Chesapeake Bay...1-3 ft
Delaware Bay...1-3 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by dangerous
waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the
surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short
distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area in North Carolina later this morning,
and spread northward into Saturday.
RAINFALL: The system is forecast to produce 3 to 5 inches of
rainfall, with localized amounts of 7 inches, across eastern North
Carolina into southeast Virginia into Saturday. Across remaining
portions of the Mid-Atlantic into southern New England, 2 to 4
inches of rainfall are forecast from late today into Sunday. This
rainfall may produce isolated urban and small stream flooding
impacts.
SURF: Swells generated by this system will be affecting much of
the east coast of the United States through this weekend. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible beginning tonight through
Saturday for portions of the Mid-Atlantic Coast.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 22 2023
000
WTNT21 KNHC 220831
TCMAT1
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162023
0900 UTC FRI SEP 22 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 75.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......210NE 0SE 0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 75.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 75.0W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.6N 75.8W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 70SE 70SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 33.4N 76.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...250NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 35.3N 76.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 37.0N 76.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 38.3N 76.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 39.0N 75.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 75.0W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 22/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Thu Sep 21 2023
769
WTNT41 KNHC 220252
TCDAT1
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162023
1100 PM EDT Thu Sep 21 2023
Nighttime proxy-visible satellite imagery suggests that the center
of the low pressure system off the southeastern U.S. coast has
become better defined this evening. Nearly all of the associated
deep convection remains oriented in a curved band extending around
the northern and eastern sides of the circulation, although a few
convective elements are beginning to fill in on the back side of
the system as well. Based on 1-minute wind observations from NOAA
buoy 41002 and ship reports, the initial intensity is raised to 35
kt, with all tropical-storm-force winds currently north of the
center on the north side of an attached warm front.
The center does not appear to have moved much since the time it
became better defined. Based on previous fixes, the current motion
is estimated to be north-northeastward (015 degrees) at 3 kt.
The dynamical guidance indicates that the center should begin moving
northward--or re-form to the north--overnight, with a northward or
north-northwestward motion continuing through Sunday morning. This
forecast track brings the center of the low inland across eastern
North Carolina on Saturday, and then across the southern Chesapeake
Bay and the Delmarva Peninsula Saturday night and Sunday. Except
for the errant HWRF (which appears too far west), the rest of the
guidance is tightly clustered, and the NHC forecast is near the
middle of the envelope. This new forecast is a bit east of the
previous prediction, mainly for the portion of the track over land.
Baroclinic processes associated with a sharp upper-level trough to
the west of the low are expected induce strengthening, and the NHC
intensity forecast is close to the GFS, ECMWF, and HCCA solutions,
bringing the maximum winds to 50 kt in 24-36 hours before the
center reaches the North Carolina coast. In addition, simulated
satellite imagery suggests there could be an increase of deep
convection near the low's center by Friday evening, and phase-space
diagrams show the system just barely entering the deep warm core
regime. Therefore, transition to a tropical cyclone is shown by 24
hours, although there still is some uncertainty on that occurrence
due to frontal boundaries still in the area. Weakening is forecast
after the center moves onshore, and the system is expected to
become extratropical again by 60 hours. An official forecast is
only provided out through 72 hours since global model fields
show the low becoming absorbed by the associated frontal boundary
off the New Jersey coast by 96 hours.
Key Messages:
1. Low pressure off the southeastern U.S. coast is producing
tropical-storm-force winds and is forecast to strengthen further
before it reaches the coast of North Carolina on Saturday. Tropical
storm conditions are expected along portions of the southeastern and
mid-Atlantic U.S. coasts within the Tropical Storm Warning area
beginning on Friday and continuing into Saturday night.
2. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
over portions of eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia,
including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds, and the lower Chesapeake
Bay, where Storm Surge Warnings are in place. Residents in these
areas should follow advice given by local officials.
3. Heavy rainfall from this system could produce localized urban
and small stream flooding impacts across the eastern mid-Atlantic
states from North Carolina to New Jersey Friday through Sunday.
4. Swells generated by this system will affect much of the U.S.
east coast through the weekend, likely causing life-threatening
surf and rip currents.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/0300Z 29.5N 75.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 22/1200Z 31.2N 75.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
24H 23/0000Z 32.5N 76.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
36H 23/1200Z 34.4N 76.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 24/0000Z 36.4N 76.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
60H 24/1200Z 37.9N 76.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 25/0000Z 39.0N 75.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Berg
...NIGEL SOON TO BE EXTRATROPICAL...
As of 3:00 AM GMT Fri Sep 22
the center of Nigel was located near 45.1, -36.7
with movement ENE at 37 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 979 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
Issued at 300 AM GMT Fri Sep 22 2023
000
WTNT35 KNHC 220240
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Nigel Advisory Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152023
300 AM GMT Fri Sep 22 2023
...NIGEL SOON TO BE EXTRATROPICAL...
SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.1N 36.7W
ABOUT 700 MI...1125 KM NW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 37 MPH...59 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nigel was located
near latitude 45.1 North, longitude 36.7 West. Nigel is moving
toward the east-northeast near 37 mph (59 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. A slower
northward or north-northwestward motion is expected this weekend.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days, and Nigel is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone
tonight or early Friday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230
miles (370 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 22 2023
000
WTNT25 KNHC 220239
TCMAT5
HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023
0300 UTC FRI SEP 22 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.1N 36.7W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 32 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT.......100NE 110SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 200SE 180SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 360SE 420SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.1N 36.7W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.2N 38.6W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 47.5N 30.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE 90SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 220SE 200SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 51.3N 25.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 200SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 55.0N 23.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 200SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 56.9N 25.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 270SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.1N 36.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
Issued at 300 AM GMT Fri Sep 22 2023
000
WTNT45 KNHC 220241
TCDAT5
Hurricane Nigel Discussion Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152023
300 AM GMT Fri Sep 22 2023
Nigel has not quite completed its transition to a post-tropical
cyclone. A burst of deep convection formed near the center a few
hours ago, and it is therefore still considered a tropical system.
Based on a partial ASCAT pass and the latest satellite intensity
estimates, the initial intensity is lowered to 65 kt for this
advisory.
Cold ocean waters and significant vertical wind shear should cause
Nigel to weaken further. The hurricane should become a powerful
extratropical cyclone within about 12 hours. As noted previously,
Nigel continues to grow in size and an expansion of the 34-kt wind
field is expected during the next couple of days.
The hurricane is moving east-northeastward at 32 kt. An east-
northeastward to northeastward motion along the southeastern side of
a deep-layer mid-latitude trough is expected during the next day or
so. Beyond a day, Nigel should rotate around the eastern side of a
large extratropical cyclone over the North Atlantic. The two
features should merge in about 60 h and the official forecast now
shows dissipation at the time. The model guidance remains tightly
clustered, and the NHC forecast lies near the center of the
envelope.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/0300Z 45.1N 36.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 22/1200Z 47.5N 30.7W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 23/0000Z 51.3N 25.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 23/1200Z 55.0N 23.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 24/0000Z 56.9N 25.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Bucci
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 22 2023
000
FONT15 KNHC 220240
PWSAT5
HURRICANE NIGEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152023
0300 UTC FRI SEP 22 2023
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NIGEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
45.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
