Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic: Shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited in association with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development during the next day or two, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
East of the Windward Islands: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave are located about 850 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible through the next day or two while it moves quickly westward across the central tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to encounter a large area of environmental dry air by the time it reaches the Windward Islands Wednesday night, which should end its chances for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic: A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves eastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical Atlantic. The system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week, ending its chances of formation by Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
